Signal
Event-risk indexes, catalysts, and source trails from messy real-world inputs.
KAIROS
Event Risk | Prediction Markets | Signal Intelligence
AI agents and deterministic validation for pricing real-world uncertainty.
Signals before consensus.
Kairos is a quantitative intelligence layer for institutional prediction-market traders.
We turn news, macro data, contract rules, and sentiment into auditable event-risk signals.
Live validation begins with proprietary Kalshi trading and a source trail behind every call.
Analyze
Agents parse news, macro data, sentiment, and contract rules into structured evidence.
Pricing & Control
Fair probabilities, confidence scores, and alerts when contracts drift from evidence.
Execution
Validated signals move from source trails into trading feedback and deployment logic.
Reinforcement
Live Kalshi outcomes tighten models, thresholds, and signal confidence over time.
Founding Team
Research depth. Market discipline. Systems execution.
Background across quantitative finance and MIT AI/ML lab research, focused on probabilistic modeling and market-facing intelligence.
Systems architect with company-building experience and lab-grade engineering depth across high-performance AI infrastructure.